Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.021407 0.023058 0.024776 0.026699 0.028793 0.031006 0.033523
2025-12-14 0.018486 0.020832 0.023401 0.026428 0.029907 0.033789 0.038463
2025-12-21 0.016731 0.019494 0.022636 0.026486 0.031095 0.036458 0.043203
2025-12-28 0.015327 0.018342 0.021875 0.026342 0.031872 0.038533 0.047221
2026-01-04 0.014266 0.017464 0.021311 0.026309 0.032678 0.040582 0.051230
2026-01-11 0.013444 0.016793 0.020914 0.026400 0.033575 0.042725 0.055417
2026-01-18 0.012716 0.016173 0.020516 0.026426 0.034339 0.044687 0.059431
2026-01-25 0.012138 0.015698 0.020255 0.026585 0.035251 0.046850 0.063805
2026-02-01 0.011460 0.015043 0.019711 0.026313 0.035534 0.048143 0.067008
2026-02-08 0.010793 0.014362 0.019084 0.025877 0.035543 0.049023 0.069635
2026-02-15 0.010277 0.013854 0.018660 0.025686 0.035865 0.050334 0.072934
2026-02-22 0.009779 0.013344 0.018201 0.025412 0.036035 0.051412 0.075920
2026-03-01 0.009325 0.012890 0.017819 0.025257 0.036413 0.052878 0.079699
2026-03-08 0.008881 0.012429 0.017407 0.025036 0.036683 0.054203 0.083357
2026-03-15 0.008555 0.012121 0.017196 0.025096 0.037369 0.056187 0.088183
2026-03-22 0.008200 0.011751 0.016872 0.024962 0.037737 0.057680 0.092287
2026-03-29 0.007899 0.011447 0.016628 0.024931 0.038255 0.059424 0.096907
2026-04-05 0.007651 0.011207 0.016468 0.025017 0.038954 0.061489 0.102196
2026-04-12 0.007404 0.010957 0.016277 0.025041 0.039546 0.063397 0.107327
2026-04-19 0.007203 0.010769 0.016172 0.025191 0.040346 0.065690 0.113285
2026-04-26 0.006919 0.010439 0.015829 0.024935 0.040445 0.066778 0.117112
2026-05-03 0.006618 0.010069 0.015407 0.024525 0.040255 0.067346 0.119995
2026-05-10 0.006385 0.009799 0.015132 0.024345 0.040449 0.068591 0.124229